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New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 62.6% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 37.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 62.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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