New Mexico: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to collect 47.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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