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Nebraska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 39.0% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, while Trump will end up with 61.0%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 64.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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