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Nebraska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 39.0% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will end up with 61.0%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to win only 35.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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