The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 47.2% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.8%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 57.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.