Missouri: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 57.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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