The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in Missouri. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 57.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.