The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.8% for Clinton, and 46.2% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 51.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.