The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.8% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 44.2%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 52.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.