The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 55.8% for Clinton, and 44.2% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to collect 47.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.