Maine: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 57.2% for Clinton, and 42.8% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 55.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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