Issues and Leaders model shows Clinton in the lead

The Issues and Leaders model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.0% for Clinton, and 48.0% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. As a result, don't focus too much on the results of a single index model. Rather than trusting the results from single index models, we recommend to consult combined index models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other index models

Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.4%. Relative to numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's index model average is 1.4 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Issues and Leaders model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.