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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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