DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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