The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.1% of the two-party vote share in Texas, while Trump will end up with 55.9%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 60.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.