DeSart & Holbrook model in Tennessee: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.3% for Clinton, and 57.8% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 36.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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