DeSart & Holbrook model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 62.4% for Clinton, and 37.6% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 62.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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