DeSart & Holbrook model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.2% for Clinton, and 43.8% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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