The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 34.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 65.8%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 30.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.