The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 34.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 65.8%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 70.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.