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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 34.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 65.8%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 70.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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