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DeSart & Holbrook model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 56.3% for Clinton, and 43.7% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 47.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.8% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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