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DeSart & Holbrook model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.6% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will end up with 40.5%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 56.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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