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DeSart & Holbrook model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 59.6% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will win 40.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 56.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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