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DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 43.0% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 58.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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