DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.0% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 57.0%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 41.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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