DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.8% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will win 46.2%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 51.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.