The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 65.9% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will win 34.1%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to achieve 37.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they often contain substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.