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DeSart & Holbrook model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 41.8% for Clinton, and 58.2% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 38.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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