The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 34.0% for Clinton, and 66.0% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to gain 69.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they may include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 65.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.