DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 41.3%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to collect 42.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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