The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.9% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.1%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 50.4% of the vote.
Colorado is traditionally a purple state, where the Democrats and the GOP have historically gained similar levels of voter support. Hence, the election outcome here is regarded critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.