The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to gain only 49.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.2% and Trump 49.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Clinton has 0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.