DeSart & Holbrook model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to gain only 49.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.2% and Trump 49.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Clinton has 0 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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