Connecticut: Clinton with strong lead in latest Emerson poll

Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The results show that 50.0% of interviewees would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% would vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between September 2 and September 5. The sample size was 1000 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 0.4 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.