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Colorado: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.9% for Clinton, and 47.1% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 50.4% of the vote.

In Colorado, the popular vote is usually close. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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