Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.2% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, whereas Trump will end up with 56.8%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to obtain 60.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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