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Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 39.1% for Clinton, and 60.9% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 35.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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