DeSart & Holbrook model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.4% for Clinton, and 8.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to gain 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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