The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 54.7% for Clinton, and 45.3% for Trump in Pennsylvania. In comparison, on October 13 Trump was still predicted to gain 45.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.