Pennsylvania: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 54.7% for Clinton, and 45.3% for Trump in Pennsylvania. In comparison, on October 13 Trump was still predicted to gain 45.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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