Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they may include substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.