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DeSart & Holbrook model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 40.8% for Clinton, and 59.2% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 36.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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