DeSart & Holbrook model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.7% for Clinton, and 46.3% for Trump in Wisconsin.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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