DeSart & Holbrook model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.7% for Clinton, and 46.3% for Trump in Wisconsin.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.