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DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they often include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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