DeSart & Holbrook model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 44.8% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will win 55.2%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they often include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.