Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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