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DeSart & Holbrook model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.2% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will win 47.8%. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to gain only 52.0% of the vote.

Historically, Florida has been a battleground state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 50.5% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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