DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 61.9% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will end up with 38.1%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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