Connecticut: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will win 41.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.