The 538 (polls-plus) model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.7% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.4%. In comparison, on October 13, Clinton was predicted to end up with 52.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models has Clinton at 50.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.7 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the 538 (polls-plus) model.