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West Virginia: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.0% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 54.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 8.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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