The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.3% for Clinton, and 53.7% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 54.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 8.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.