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West Virginia: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.3% for Clinton, and 53.7% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 8.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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