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DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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